April Green Coffee Outlook: How the War is Impacting Coffee

Coffee may not travel through the Strait of Hormuz, but its closure impacts coffee prices.

A few customers have asked us what effects the closure of the Strait of Hormuz will have on coffee, especially in price. While coffee doesn’t actually travel through Hormuz, commodities like oil, natural gas and fertilizer do. The closure of the Strait, in response to the war, has triggered a global supply shortage of these commodities. We are already paying for the knock-on effects in the supply chain.

Oil shortages are perhaps most glaring to us as price shifts are felt in real time at the pump. As a business, we feel this in the rising costs to ship coffee, too. Diesel prices have skyrocketed since the start of the war; this is fuel used to power the container ships for maritime transit, as well as the trucks needed to transport coffee to and from the ports. In addition, some shipping lanes are also subject to a “War Risk Surcharge,” which currently stands around $2,000 per 20 foot container, which most suppliers use. All of this is factored into the shipping rates we pay.

Neatly planted rows of Bourbon at Santa Ines farm in Antigua, Guatemala.
Neatly planted rows of Bourbon at Santa Ines farm in Antigua, Guatemala.

For fertilizers specifically used on coffee, about half of the global supply passes through Hormuz. These are sulphur-based fertilizers that include minerals like potassium, phosphorus, and nitrogen, which have more than doubled in price since the closure of the Strait. Like oil, the shortage hits consumers immediately and has meant a significant increase in the cost of production for coffee farmers.

These costs add up, all of them trickling down to the final coffee price. That said, when compared to last year’s peaks caused by supply shortages and tariffs, coffee prices have still managed to come down a bit—at least for the time being. Today’s news of a temporary ceasefire has offered a sliver of hope, though the supply gap is expected to have long term effects.


Check out our launch schedule and list of coffees in-transit below

Scroll through the Upcoming Coffees lists below for an updated schedule of coffees rolling out through the rest of April. “Launch Week” is an estimate of when coffees will hit the site, but please keep in mind the timing can fluctuate due to issues outside our control.

Also, a reminder that coffees in our “Incoming Coffees” list with a status of “ARRIVED”, means the container is in Oakland, but not yet in our possession. It generally takes a few weeks for incoming shipments to be physically moved to the offsite storage facility we use. Once they are transferred, they will be removed from our “Incoming” list. On that note, just because a coffee’s disappeared from the list, doesn’t mean you missed them. It means they are now in our possession and you will see them on a future launch schedule.

Below is a list of upcoming green coffees currently on the schedule to be added to our website over the next two months.

Upcoming Coffees April

Launch WeekCoffee Name Bags
4/6 – 4/10Colombia Pitalito Franky Peña18
4/6 – 4/10Ethiopia Uraga Gogogu119
4/6 – 4/10Rwanda Nyamasheke Mutovu20
4/6 – 4/10Guatemala Huehuetenango Finca La Bolsa15
4/6 – 4/10Honduras FTO Marcala WP Decaf20
4/6 – 4/10Espresso Workshop #51: Silvertone60
4/13 – 4/17Colombia Productores de Pitalito32
4/13 – 4/17Flores Wet Hulled Turelelo20
4/13 – 4/17Java Sunda Mekarsari20
4/13 – 4/17Brazil Machado Recanto do Engenho109
4/13 – 4/17Colombia Inzá Maria Ilma7
4/13 – 4/17Kenya Nyeri Kamoini AB39
4/20 – 4/24Ethiopia Guji Gerba Dogo100
4/20 – 4/24Colombia Buesaco Miguel Paz7
4/20 – 4/24Brazil Cerrado Ana Maria Menezes59
4/20 – 4/24Colombia Nariño Alto Naranjal17
4/20 – 4/24Kenya Nyeri Karindundu Peaberry10
4/20 – 4/24Peru Perlamayo Familia Rioja10

Incoming coffees currently on the water: February Onward

Please keep in mind that names may change when we list the coffee on our website. Location status of “TBD” are also a bit of a wild card, as logistical disruptions are out of our control! You also may notice some of the coffees from last month’s list have disappeared. Don’t worry, you probably haven’t missed them. They are now in our possession and should be on our launch schedule soon. Thanks for your patience!

Africa

Lot IDBagsETA
Ethiopia Dry Process Buno Dambi Uddo120ETA 7/10
Ethiopia Dry Process Korate100ETA 7/10
Ethiopia Dry Process Bobea Uke100ETA 7/10
Ethiopia Shakiso Wesi100ETA 7/10
Ethiopia Dry Process Goro Bedessa120ETA 7/10
Ethiopia Dry Process Shakiso Wesi100ETA 7/10
Ethiopia Uraga Gogogu120ETA 7/10
Ethiopia Uraga Raro Boda100ETA 7/10
Ethiopia Dry Process Banko100ETA 7/10
Ethiopia Organic Buture Cooperative80ETA 7/10
Ethiopia Organic Garuke Cooperative80ETA 7/10
Ethiopia Organic Gera Nano Challa80TBD
Ethiopia Organic Agaro Duromina80TBD
Ethioia Limu Dapara80TBD
Ethiopia Organic Gera Genji Challa80TBD
Ethiopia Organic Dry Process Birbirsa100TBD
Ethiopia Dry Process Guji Goro100TBD
Ethiopia Dry Process Yirgacheffe Banko Gotiti60TBD
Ethiopia Yirgacheffe Banko Gotiti100TBD
Ethiopia Guji Benti Nenka60TBD
Ethiopia Dry Process Dogo Sodu100TBD
Ethiopia Dry Process Guji Tuku100TBD
Ethiopia Honey Process Gerba Dogo25TBD
Ethiopia Anaerobic Gerba Dogo25TBD
Ethiopia Yirga Cheffe Chelchel120TBD
Ethiopia Dry Process Buku Abel100TBD
Ethiopia Dry Process Uraga100TBD
Ethiopia Dry Process Buku Abel Lot 326120TBD
Ethiopia Dry Process Guji Haruse100TBD
Ethiopia Dry Process Guji Uraga100TBD
Ethiopia Guji Hambela Dabaye80TBD
Ethiopia Dry Process Hambela Buliye80TBD
Farid Qanoo – Kedemai50TBD
Abdurahiman Ababulgu Washed Duromina60TBD
Abdurahiman Ababulgu Natural Duromina60TBD
Abdo Kasim -Natural Kota50TBD
Dametew Hailu -Natural Genji50TBD
Kefyalew Deressa -Natural Shantawene50TBD
Burundi Mutambu Migoti Hill38ETA 4/28
Burundi Collines Masenga42ETA 4/28
Burundi Monge Murambi Hill41ETA 4/28
Burundi Collines Rugembe16ETA 4/28
Burundi Collines Rugembe31ETA 4/28
Burundi Mutambu Migoti Hill38ETA 4/28
Burundi Monge Murambi Hill36ETA 4/28
Burundi Dry Process Nyabiraba Kinama33ETA 4/28
Burundi Dry Process Collines Kigina33ETA 4/28
Burundi Dry Process Nyabiraba Kinama12ETA 4/28
Burundi Dry Process Kibingo25ETA 3/7
Burundi Dry Process Nemba25ETA 3/7
Yemen Mokha Matari75TBD
Yemen Khulani Amer75TBD
Yemen Mokha Hajjah75TBD
Yemen Mokha Haimi125TBD
Yemen Mokha Sanani50TBD
Uganda Bugoye20TBD
Uganda Dry Process Bugoye50TBD
Uganda Mount Elgon40TBD
Uganda Gibuzale A20TBD
Uganda Yellow Honey Elgon20TBD
Uganda Black Honey Elgon20TBD
Uganda Dry Process Elgon20TBD
Uganda Dry Process Robusta10TBD
Kenya Nyeri Gathaithi Peaberry3ETA 5/15
Kenya Nyeri Gichathaini AA40ETA 5/15
Kenya Kirinyaga Kiri AB26ETA 5/15
Kenya Kiambu Spike AA16ETA 5/15
Kenya Kiambu Spike AB17ETA 5/15
Kenya Kiambu Spike Peaberry5ETA 5/15
Kenya Nduma Peaberry6ETA 5/15
Kenya Nyeri Kiamabara AA30ETA 5/15
Kenya Nyeri Gathaithi AA30ETA 5/15
Kenya Nyeri Gititu AB26ETA 5/15
Kenya Nyeri Gathaithi Peaberry Lot 211ETA 5/15
Kenya Ruarai Peaberry6ETA 5/15
Kenya Kiambu Spike AA Lot 220ETA 5/15
Kenya Kiambu Spike Peaberry Lot 27ETA 5/15
Kenya Kirinyaga Kii Peaberry5ETA 5/15
Kenya Kiambu Spike AA Lot 338TBD
Kenya Kiambu Spike Peaberry Lot 320TBD
Kenya Kiambu Spike AB Lot 235TBD
Kenya Kiambu Fram Farm AA21TBD
Kenya Kiambu Fram Farm AB20TBD
Kenya Kiambu Fram Farm Peaberry5TBD
Kenya Nyeri Igutha AB26TBD
Kenya Nyeri Igutha Peaberry7TBD
Kenya Nyeri Maganjo AB8TBD
Kenya Nyeri Maganjo AB Lot 232TBD
Kenya Nyeri Maganjo AA35TBD
Kenya Nyeri Rukira AB23TBD
Kenya Nyeri Gaikundo AA9TBD
Kenya Nyeri Kaiguri AA20TBD
Kenya Nyeri Rukira AB23TBD
Kenya Nyeri Gaikundo AB28TBD
Kenya Kinjo AB24TBD
Kenya Nyeri Kaiguri AB53TBD
Kenya Nyeri Ichamama Peaberry11TBD
Kenya Nyeri Kamoini AB12TBD
Kenya Nyeri Chinga Peaberry11TBD
Kenya Nyeri Kaiguri Peaberry13TBD
Kenya Nyeri Gaikundo NH18TBD

Central America

Lot IDBagsETA
El Salvador Miravalles Pacamara18TBD
El Salvador Dry Process Finca San Luis38TBD
El Salvador Dry Process Cuscatleco16TBD
El Salvador Dry Process Icatu10TBD
El Salvador Honey Process Castillo16TBD
El Salvador Honey Process Ana Café17TBD
El Salvador Miravalles Pacamara20TBD
El Salvador Finca Miravalles Bourbon46TBD
El Salvador San Miguel Bourbon14TBD
El Salvador Atiquizaya Tabi30TBD
El Salvador10TBD
El Salvador La Esperanza Bourbon50TBD
Guatemala Xinabajul Edwin Castillo17TBD
Guatemala Proyecto Xinabajul Bojonality40TBD
Guatemala Xinabajul Axel Palacios22TBD
Guatemala Xinabajul Donaldo Villatoro55TBD
Guatemala Xinabajul Rosalio Villatoro30TBD
Guatemala Xinabajul Aler Villatoro45TBD
Guatemala Huehuetenango Boqueroncito26TBD
Guatemala Libertad Aurelio Del Cerro40TBD

Indonesia & SE Asia

Lot IDBagsETA
India Pearl Mountain Estate Peaberry50TBD
Sumatra Wet Hulled Sesongot20TBD
Sumatra Wet Hulled Sesongot Peaberry20TBD
Sumatra Anaerobic Honey Gayo15TBD
Sumatra Dry Process Gayo Abyssinia10TBD
Sumatra Anaerbic Natural Gayo15TBD
Sumatra Wet Process Ribang Gayo15TBD
Sumatra Wet Hulled Ribang Gayo50TBD

30 Responses

  1. I anticipate the Uganda robusta. Uganda is one of most countries whose coffee I do not buy because most of it seems to be more on the bright and fruity end of the spectrum but correct me if I am wrong. However, I will build inventory of robusta from any country because inherently I know already it will be pleasing to my palate. Really I want more of that aged robusta but it is out of stock.

  2. does any coffee come from harrar any more? ethiopian coffees have very different names different from older times. thank you

    1. Great question. Coffee is still being produced in Harrar, just not a lot. Tom actually wrote a piece about this very topic that you can check out here.

  3. Last fall I really enjoyed Kenya Nyeri Gatamboya AA. For me it had a stunning bright grapefruit flavor right up front. Is there any more coming this season? If not, will any of the other Nyeri AA beans be similar? Thank you.

    1. Hey there Ala, while we didn’t book Gatomboya this year, we did pick up some very nice AA selections from Kenya. Our first box should be here around late May/early June, and both Gichathaini AA and Gathaithi were standout lots. But there are others too. If all goes as scheduled, we should start seeing these coffees hit the site staring first week June.

      Best,
      Dan

  4. No Kirinyaga Kiangoi AA lots this year? Last year’s lot was probably my favorite Kenyan yet – a blackberry bomb.

    Looking forward to trying the Ugandan lots!

    1. Hey Todd, no Kiangoi just yet. We try to repeat with stations we buy from, but some years we don’t see samples, or the ones we are offered don’t hit our quality target. However, we do have some incredible AA Nyeri coffees lined up, like Gichathaini, Gathaithi, and more.

      Best,
      Dan

    1. Hey Kent, we will have Monsoon coffee around July. I believe the coffee is being prepped to ship right now, so I expect to have a more firm ETA in the next Outlook.

      Best,
      Dan

    1. Hey Blair, yes we will. There are a couple lots missing from this list that should start rolling out to the site in the next couple of weeks. They’re not on the schedule yet, but we’re working on it!

      Best,
      Dan

  5. Tell us about the three Kiambu Spike AA lots. Are these three corresponding to SL28, Ruiru 11, and Ruiru 11 grafted to SL roots? I read about this varietal separation in your Spike farm description last year. Looking forward to trying each of them. Any tasting notes you can provide are appreciated, if it’s not too early to inquire.

    1. Hi Ala, good question. My understanding is that this year’s coffees are still blended before milling, so no separations this time around. We’ll see what they’re capable of managing next harvest. All of the samples we approved are syrupy in sweetness, and nice vivid brightness that’s somewhere between citrus and apple.

      Best,

    1. Unfortunately the samples from Harazi didn’t quite reach the quality target we aim for. We’ll try again next year! The ones we picked up are very nice, and we look forward to their arrival mid-Summer.

      Best

    1. We are also counting down the days! Hopefully we will see the arrival by the end of the month.

      Best

  6. Guatemala is a family favorite in our house. Do you have an update on when the Finca La Bolsa will be available for order?

    1. Hey Mark, unfortunately La Bolsa came and went (it sold fast!). We hope to pick up more coffee from them later in the year, but don’t have anything on the books just yet. Our fist Guatemalan coffees are shipping right now and should be available in June/July.

      Best,

    1. Hey David, nothing booked but we are hoping to add something to our catalog late Summer. Keep an eye out for an update in the June Outlook (hoping to have one by then).

      -Dan

  7. Any update on the Kenyan coffees? I see 5/15 as the date, but we’re past that now, just looking for an update… need to order some more coffee really soon, hoping to pick up a couple of these.

    1. Hi William, our first Kenya box did indeed arrive, and is just waiting to be unloaded at the Annex (where we store some of our coffee). We hope to start listing them in the nexts 2 weeks.

      Thanks!
      -Dan

  8. Any updates for Guatemala FTO Dry Process Chuacus, or Mexico Organic Chiapas Tulijá? Both great coffees!

    1. We don’t have those two on the books at the moment. We have another Organic Mexico coffee landing this month, La Concordia, that I think will be a nice replacement from Tulija. We haven’t bought any dry process Guatemalan coffees so far, but El Salvador will have a few options. Dry Process Finca San Luis is a pretty wild, fruit-forward natural, wheras the Icatu lot is much milder in terms of fruit (tho still there), and versatile in that way.

      -Dan

  9. Any word yet on when the Yemeni beans will be available? I’ve run out and no good subs available. 😩

    1. Hi Fran! We’re right there with you. Our container currently has an ETA of August, so not too much longer. Hoping for a quick turnaround so we can have some delicious Yemeni coffee late Summer.

      Best,

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