January Green Coffee Outlook: Groundwork for 2026

The first quarter buying season is where we lay much of the groundwork for 2026.

January has been a hectic month for Tom processing fresh crop samples in our Oakland lab, a pace that won’t let up for the next 3 months. With harvest happening in many key countries – like Ethiopia, Kenya, and all of Central America – it just might be the busiest quarter of the year for buying. By the end of March we will have literally tasted a couple thousand samples, and contracted more than 50% of our inventory for the year.

A big chunk of that work will be done at coffee labs in the producing countries. There’s a real benefit to sharing this work load, saving us countless hours of roasting samples, and setting up/breaking down cupping sessions. We also tend to see a broader selection of offer samples than if we were to manage them by mail, a detail we feel sweetens our chances at sourcing the best options available!

The cupping lab at Kofinaf Coffee Mill, Nairobi
The cupping lab at Kofinaf Coffee Mill, Nairobi

Our travel schedule also ramps up at the start of the year visiting with farmers, wet mills, coffee associations, and of course cupping coffee. The next two weeks will be spent in Ethiopia and Kenya (our second trip since December), followed by February and March trips to countries in Central America and Indonesia. It’s a time to check in with the groups we buy from old and new, as well as observe what’s happening on the ground. We value these opportunities to gain a better understanding of the work that goes into our coffee, and a big reason why we travel.

As for incoming arrivals, things are pretty quiet early in the year, but we do have a few to report. Over the last few weeks containers from Colombia, Rwanda, and Indonesia arrived in Oakland, most of which are still in the process of working their way from the port to us. I’ve left the Colombia and Rwanda coffees in our Incoming Coffees list below with a status of “ARRIVED” so you can see that list. However, the Indonesian box has already been released, and you will see coffees from Flores, Java, and Sulawesi showing up on our Upcoming Coffees launch schedule.

Sorting coffee cherry, Mutambu Burundi
Sorting coffee cherry, Mutambu Burundi

Burundi is the one country where we’ve experienced delays, and it’s not just us. Shipments are being held up by the Burundi coffee authority, ODECA, who rubber stamp the contracted prices for every coffee that’s exported. This, along with a shortage of shipping containers and available space on cargo ships, has led to longer than usual delays. Fortunately, our shipments were finally approved, scheduled to sail next week. Realistically, our first Burundi coffees should be available by early March.

Where are all the decafs and blends?

You may have noticed the number of decaf and blend offers dwindling over the past few months, and wondered what’s going on. In both cases, low coffee stocks have played a role in their disappearance.

We don’t source coffee specifically for either outlet. Instead, we look to our own catalog for high quality ingredients, a reliance that leaves us vulnerable to supply shortages like we saw last year. This rang particularly true for blends, which you can read more about here. We’ve since restocked most of our blends, and feel that in most cases, we have enough coffee on hand to help bridge the gap to the next round of coffee arrivals.

The reason we are low on decafs is a bit more complicated. Initially, we slowed down our toll processing with Swiss Water Decaf in Canada due to a change in volume minimums not working well with our quality program. Ideally, we can decaf several smaller lots of coffee in order to maintain a level of farm specificity, and supporting a wide variety of options. Instead, we found ourselves needing to blend multiple coffees to meet the higher minimums resulting in larger volumes of fewer options, losing some of the regional distinction in the process.

Swiss Water Decaf - Green Coffee Comparison
Indonesia Swiss Water Decaf – Green Coffee Comparison

Tariffs also created a price barrier for decaffeination last year (coffee has since been exempted from tariffs). We found out the hard way that coffee crossing the border to be decaffeinated would still incur a 10% duty, regardless of whether or not we’d already paid a tariff to import the coffee in the first place. Our main supplier is Swiss Water in Vancouver, BC, and there are no alternatives in the US. The added 20% on top of the cost to decaffeinate was significant, and something we decided to minimize in order to keep prices reasonable.

This year we are looking for other opportunities to bring on new decafs. We’re working with import partners to select more manageable lot sizes, and increasing our the number of Farm Gate Colombian coffees that we process at the Descafecol plant in Manizales. It means a few less options for the near term, but the quality we vet for will not change. We had two new decafs coming online in February, and are expecting a couple more by April, including our own Ethiopia decaf from Swiss Water (the latter closer to late April).


Check out our launch schedule and list of coffees in-transit below

Scroll through the Upcoming Coffees lists below for an updated schedule of coffees rolling out through February. “Launch Week” is an estimate of when coffees will hit the site, but please keep in mind the timing can fluctuate due to issues outside our control.

Also, a reminder that coffees in our “Incoming Coffees” list with a status of “ARRIVED”, means the container is in Oakland, but not yet in our possession. It generally takes a few weeks for incoming shipments to be physically moved to the offsite storage facility we use. Once they are transferred, they will be removed from our “Incoming” list. On that note, just because a coffee’s disappeared from the list, doesn’t mean you missed them. It means they are now in our possession and you will see them on a future launch schedule.

Below is a list of upcoming green coffees currently on the schedule to be added to our website over the next two months.

Upcoming Coffees January

Launch WeekCoffee NameBags
1/26 – 2/3Brazil Pulp Natural Patrícia Carvalho30
1/26 – 2/3Colombia Buesaco Rio Juanambú11
1/26 – 2/3Ethiopia Dry Process Buno Dambi Uddo80
1/26 – 2/3Flores Anaerobic Dry Process Turelelo5
1/26 – 2/3Guatemala Xinabajul Miriam Gomez14
1/26 – 2/3Java Wet Hulled Gunung Tilu25
1/26 – 2/3Kenya Nyeri Rukira Peaberry8
1/26 – 2/3Peru Organic Guardian del Bosque Gesha20

Upcoming Coffees February (so far)

Launch WeekCoffee NameBags
2/2 – 2/6Colombia Buesaco EA Decaf30
2/2 – 2/6Costa Rica Zarcero Monte Brisas Typica16
2/2 – 2/6Ethiopia Dry Process Hambela Goro80
2/2 – 2/6Flores Dry Process Manggarai Colol Robusta20
2/2 – 2/6Kenya Kirinyaga Kainamui AB20
2/2 – 2/6Peru FTO Chirinos Coop WP Decaf40
2/2 – 2/6Sulawesi Tana Luwu Tibussan Village20
2/9 – 2/13Colombia Honey Aponte Laureano Martinez7
2/9 – 2/13Ethiopia Yirga Cheffe Banko Gotiti80
2/9 – 2/13Flores Bajawa Eko Heto20
2/9 – 2/13Kenya Nyeri Karuthi AA24
2/9 – 2/13Nicaragua Maracaturra20
2/9 – 2/13Peru Comite La Palma39
2/9 – 2/13Rwanda Nyamasheke Coproca30
2/16 – 2/20Costa Rica Zarcero Monte Brisas Cassiopea20
2/16 – 2/20Ethiopia Honey Process Barkume45
2/16 – 2/20Kenya Kirinyaga Kariani Peaberry15
2/16 – 2/20Sumatra Wet Hulled Aceh Tengah30
2/23 – 2/27Colombia Honey Vereda San Francisco11
2/23 – 2/27El Salvador Miravalles Sampacho20
Sweet Maria's Coffee Shrub Coffee Sourcerer
Sweet Maria’s Coffee Shrub Coffee Sourcerer

Incoming coffees currently on the water: February Onward

Please keep in mind that names may change when we list the coffee on our website. Location status of “TBD” are also a bit of a wild card, as logistical disruptions are out of our control! You also may notice some of the coffees from last month’s list have disappeared. Don’t worry, you probably haven’t missed them. They are now in our possession and should be on our launch schedule soon. Thanks for your patience!

Africa

Lot IDBagsETA
Rwanda Nyamasheke Mutovu20ARRIVED
Rwanda Nyamasheke Gatare55ARRIVED
Rwanda Dry Process Karongi Gitesi35ARRIVED
Rwanda Dry Process Gitwe25ARRIVED
Rwanda Dry Process Tumba15ARRIVED
Rwanda Honey Process Gatare20ARRIVED
Rwanda Milles Collines Peaberry Lot 250ARRIVED
Rwanda Inzovu (name will change)40ARRIVED
Rwanda Rulindo Tumba 330ARRIVED
Rwanda Dry Process Kivu Kageyo30ARRIVED
Zambia Anaerobic Dry Process Kasama Misambo25ARRIVED
Zambia Dry Process Kasama Misambo25ARRIVED
Burundi Mutambu Migoti Hill38ETA MAR
Burundi Collines Masenga42ETA MAR
Burundi Monge Murambi Hill41ETA MAR
Burundi Collines Rugembe16ETA MAR
Burundi Collines Rugembe31ETA MAR
Burundi Mutambu Migoti Hill38ETA MAR
Burundi Monge Murambi Hill36ETA MAR
Burundi Dry Process Nyabiraba Kinama33ETA MAR
Burundi Dry Process Collines Kigina33ETA MAR
Burundi Dry Process Nyabiraba Kinama12ETA MAR
Burundi Dry Process Kibingo25ETA MAR
Burundi Dry Process Nemba25ETA MAR

South America

Lot IDBagsETA
Colombia Honey Aponte El Páramo10ARRIVED
Colombia Pitalito Franky Peña18ARRIVED
Colombia Huila Pink Bourbon23ARRIVED
Colombia Productores de Pitalito32ARRIVED
Colombia Edward Sandoval Wush Wush6ARRIVED
Colombia Edward Sandoval Chiroso12ARRIVED
Colombia La Plata Raul Hector8ARRIVED
Colombia Buesaco Maricela Ordoñez9ARRIVED
Colombia Oporapa Pink Bourbon17ARRIVED
Colombia Inzá Maria Ilma7ARRIVED
Colombia Buesaco Miguel Paz7ARRIVED
Colombia Nariño Alto Naranjal27ARRIVED
Colombia Buesaco Alianza Granjeros26ARRIVED
Colombia Buesaco Río Juanambú39ARRIVED
Colombia Inzá Cresta El Hato21ARRIVED
Colombia Inzá El Tabor16ARRIVED
Brazil Cerrado Ana Maria Menezes59ETA FEB
Brazil Espírito Santo Rubens Correa52ETA FEB
Brazil Jacuí Tulio Arantes Vieira65ETA FEB
Brazil Dry Process Patrocinio Fazenda Paraiso35ETA FEB
Brazil Machado Adilson Moreira Soares109ETA FEB

Indonesia & SE Asia

Lot IDBagsETA
Timor Leste Dry Process Laklo20ETA MAR
Timor Leste Small Producer Lot60ETA MAR

32 Responses

  1. When can we hope to see some more Colombian’s available? I have been anxiously awaiting the Edward Sandoval lots, as well as the Pink Bourbon lots. Those are auto-buys as far as I’m concerned.

    1. Hey William, editing my previous response. We have a Chiroso lot from Edward Sandoval available right now. The others, along with the Pink Bourbon, are not yet available to us, but we hope to start listing those in the next month. We currently have 7 non-decaf Colombia’s on the site, and generally try to keep 6-8 stocked when we have the inventory.

      Hope that helps.

      -Dan

    2. Bring on the premium Colombian lots! FOMO on the first Edward Sandoval lot, told myself I’d wait for the new crop. Really looking forward to the Wush Wush and 2nd Chiroso lots from him.

    3. Hey William, FWIW, the last Chiroso we had and what’s coming up (Wush Wush/Chiroso) are both from the same crop, just different parts of the harvest. We are launching Wush Wush next week! Chiroso should be available mid-March.

      Best,

  2. I really enjoyed Burundi DP Masha last year as well as Honey Gakenke and Honey Gatara Masha. I’m guessing you weren’t able to source any quality lots of those coffees this year?

    1. If they are anything like last year’s DP lots, I certainly won’t complain! What about honey processed lots?

    2. Hey Todd, we were not able to pick up Masha unfortunately. Hopefully this harvest season! The DP lots we did pick up are excellent quality though. Hopefully they’ll be here soon.

      Best,

  3. Completely unrelated and I imagine the market for this is mostly just me, but if you ever make a t-shirt of the “I sense beans arriving” Coffee Sourcerer I will buy it so fast

  4. Will we be seeing any Costa Rica beans from Tarrazu region any time soon? These are my go to and haven’t seen any in stock in a while! Thanks!

    1. Hi Slater! We have one final anaerobic natural from Los Santos region going up, and that’s it until approximately June. We are heading to Costa Rica next week to start making selections for that shipment.

      Best,
      Dan

    1. Hello Jennifer,

      We are adding one coffee from Guatemala this week, one next week, and one more the following. After that, the next crop will be arriving in May/June.

      Happy roasting!

    1. Hey Todd, we’re hoping to have the AIFU coffee this year, but nothing booked yet. We did pick up a few lots from Ribang Gayo, including their washed coffee! THat should be here early-to-mid Summer.

    1. Coffee generally doesn’t move through the Strait. This shipment was held up because of a new policy that contracts be approved by the coffee authority which just really slowed things down. The coffee is moving, and we expect it late April.

  5. I’m new to coffee roasting and still learning the seasons of everything.
    When does Java Sunda Cimara come back into stock?

    1. Hey Jaymes! We’ll start making our Java selections toward the Summer, and would hope to see new crop available closer to the end of the year. Cimara is a small producer blend, more or less. Our current Siki Alit coffee would be a great replacement since it’s also from that same general region near Tilu.

      Best,
      Dan

  6. Have there been any recent Ethiopia coffees arriving? I’m excited to try some dry process at its freshest. The options on the website still list an arrival date of September or October 2025.

    1. Hey Louis, new crop Ethiopia is going to ship very soon, but we don’t expect any new lots until late Spring/early Summer. FWIW, they are some of the most stable coffees we buy.

      Best,
      Dan

    1. Hi Dan, we wound up selling that lot through our wholesale site, Coffee Shrub. We are finalizing contracts for Guatemala right now, and I’m happy to report there’s a very nice lot from Boqueroncito. We won’t likely have that until Summer, but it should ship very soon.

      Best,

  7. Thanks for the update and additional information. I’ve only been roasting and purchasing from you (both sites) for a few years. Did this lot even hit the Shrub site?

    1. Hey Dan, you bet. It was available directly from the Annex (here’s our Annex list). We will have one more washed Huehuetenango lot available next Friday – La Bolsa – but that’s it for the season. It’s also from La Libertad region, so similar altitude, cultivars, etc. Really nice, well-balanced cup.

      Hope that helps!

  8. Thank you, Dan! I feel much better now! With all of the recent events, I have been worried about the Yemen supply. I will be looking for it in the summer.
    Sincerely,
    sandy m.

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