February Green Coffee Outlook: Shipping Updates And Assurances

In this February Green Coffee Outlook, we take a look at what trade route disruptions means for the flow of coffee, as well as what origins you can expect to see in the near term.

Jute bags filled with green coffee are piled high in a Kafa warehouse awaiting transport to a dry mill in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.
Jute bags filled with green coffee are piled high in a Kafa warehouse awaiting transport to a dry mill in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.

While the transfer of coffee is never a straight line, the current trade route disruptions see this year’s shipping lanes shaping up to be particularly non-linear. Rest assured, we have several shipment reaching Oakland in the next few weeks. But for our coffees shipping April – July (Ethiopia, Kenya, and many Central American origins) we won’t truly know the how recent global events will impact these coffee routes since they are several months off from shipping. Rather than getting bogged down with speculation, I’ll briefly touch on two of the biggest stories related to global shipping, and then cover incoming coffees with firm ETA’s.

The crisis in the Red Sea continues. Many of the major shipping companies, such as Maersk, are opting to take a 2-week detour around the Cape of Good Hope rather than navigate that shipping route. The security situation through this trade route has also led to many shipping companies avoiding major African ports altogether, making the movement of coffee out of Africa more and more difficult, not to mention, expensive. When you do find space on a vessel, there are added fees charged either associated with the longer voyages, or security risk if navigating the Red Sea.

While this may sound like an isolated logistics issue, it has a ripple effect in other parts of the world. Just today we received notification by Maersk that they are limiting service from Mexico to Oakland for the next few months in order to “maintain schedule reliability”, which will stall our Colombia shipment they are managing by 2 weeks. Comparatively, this is a small inconvenience, but shipping companies are already adjusting their service to make up for the longer travel times from rerouted vessels.

This cherry was just laid out on the drying beds. You can still see some underripe coffee in there, but most will be removed by hand while the coffee dries.
Whole coffee cherry drying on raised beds at the Kayon Mountain Farms site in Guji, Ethiopia.

Shipping through the Panama Canal is also facing uncertainty as unseasonably dry weather has led to very low water levels, and threatens to limit traffic through the channel. We don’t expect to see this impact our South American coffees since they typically ships to Oakland. But should our African shipments be rerouted around the Cape of Good Hope, a slow-down at the Canal poses a potential bottle neck for getting African coffee to the West Coast.

Though the circumstances are very different, it’s not the first time we’ve faced supply chain disruptions (remember the port closures during the COVID-19 lockdowns?). The importers we tend to work with have contingency plans in place for the different possible scenarios. But honestly, one of the most important lessons from our previous experience is to try not to fret, because we really don’t know what’s going to happen.

This may sound sound lame, or even slightly apathetic, but understanding your limitations can bring some relief! It also allows you to focus on what’s in front of you. In this case, where there’s a strong possibility African and Central American shipments will see delays, we are choosing to focus on the fact that we have our largest selection of Ethiopian, Kenyan, and Guatemalan coffees right now, and new coffee from these origins is still a long ways out.

Even without shipping delays, we wouldn’t expect to see new crop coffees from these origins until early Summer, which is several months away. It’s always a good time to stock up on a coffee you love, since there’s no telling when it will be back. But with the multiple months between now and new crop, I will make the case that that sentiment is perhaps more important now than in previous years. “A bird in the hand is worth two in the bush”, rings true.

We are still a ways off from shipping any coffee, and are holding out hope that both of these situations improve. We should have a more clear picture of what to expect in next month’s Green Coffee Outlook.


Coffee origins to expect in the near term

A cattle dog lies down to rest in front of two indoor coffee drying rooms made from wood frames and tarpaulin. Topidi Village, Sulawesi.
A cattle dog lies down to rest in front of two indoor coffee drying rooms made from wood frames and tarpaulin. Topidi Village, Sulawesi.

If we focus on the near future, the outlook is much brighter . We’ve had a couple shipping containers arrive over the past two weeks, and a few more scheduled to land in Oakland toward the end of the month.

Our recent Indonesian arrivals have us pretty excited as there are a couple coffees we’ve not stocked in over a year. In addition to wet hulled options from Flores and Sulawesi, you’ll be seeing a return of coffee from Topidi Village in Sulawesi, as well as really interesting anaerobic coffees from Flores, and Java. The turnaround to get these in-house is usually a couple of weeks, and you’ll see below that our first lots are slated to launch early March.

A photo of Delta Farm in Santa Rita do Sapucaí, run by farmer Doña Wania Maria. Minas Geraís, Brazil.
A photo of Delta Farm in Santa Rita do Sapucaí, run by farmer Doña Wania Maria. Minas Geraís, Brazil.

In addition, we also had two containers of Brazilian coffees land with very interesting lots, some of which have already started trickling to the website (see Pulp Natural Wania Maria, and a really nice Yellow Honey from Carlos Henrique on Valentines Day). The single farmer lots in these boxes really challenged our preconceptions of what Brazilian coffees can be, and I encourage you to keep an eye out for new additions in February and March.

Rwandan coffees have also arrived, and we’ve kicked off the year with stunning lots from Gitesi and Tumba (one of my personal faves!). These mark the beginning of a steady stream of new coffees to come, the next being a peaberry lot from Gitwe.

Lastly, we have containers from Papua New Guinea, Burundi, and Colombia nearing Oakland with ETA’s stretching across the next two weeks. Check out the detailed lists below in our Incoming Coffees list. There’s a lot to look forward to!


Upcoming Coffees February & March

Below is a list of upcoming green coffees currently on the schedule to be added to our website for December and January. This list is still being updated:

February Outlook:

CoffeeBags
Brazil Yellow Honey Carlos Henrique60
Brazil Dry Process Pedra Branca60
Guatemala Xinabajul Producers 255
Guatemala Libertad Punta del Cerro66
Guatemala Patzún Finca La Florida39
Guatemala Patzún Finca La Florida39
Guatemala Proyecto Xinabajul Dos Villatoros20
Honduras Dry Process Sabillon Parainema12
Nicaragual Los Altiplanos Java18
Ethiopia Dry Process Senna Katta Mountain100
Kenya Nyeri Gatugi AA21
Timor Leste Hatletegeo30
Timor Leste Honey Process Daurfusu20
Indonesia Nusantara SWP Decaf42

March Outlook (so far – check back later this month for an update):

CoffeeBags
Brazil Canastra Luis Otavio32
Colombia Honey Aponte Margarita Pujimuy12
Guatemala Xinabajul San Pedro Necta34
Guatemala Proyecto Xinabajul Wilfredo Perez15
Guatemala Carmen Amelia Robusta10
Honduras Honey Process Carlos Umberto14
Nicaragua Buenos Aires Maracaturra20
Ethiopia Dukamo Rumedamo60
Ethiopia Bensa Hamesho60
Kenya Thika Karatu Peaberry16
Kenya Nyeri Kiamwangi AA15
Flores Albertus & Reti20
Java Sunda Anaerobic Honey15
Sulawesi Kahayya Village15
Sumatra Lintong Sigumpar Village30
Sweet Maria's Coffee Shrub Coffee Sourcerer
Sweet Maria’s Coffee Shrub Coffee Sourcerer

Incoming coffees currently on the water: February onward

Please keep in mind that the coffees on the Upcoming Coffee Outlook schedule with a location status of “In Transit” are still a bit of a wild card, and the month we have them listed under is based on the current shipping ETA, and subject to interruptions out of our control. Also, you may notice some of the coffees from last month’s list have disappeared. These coffees have arrived in the US, and await being added to our launch schedule. Thanks for your patience!

African Incoming Coffees

CoffeesBagsETA
Burundi Kayanza Gahahe40ETA 2/17
Burundi Kayanza Gakenke40ETA 2/17
Burundi Kayanza Kibingo Station40ETA 2/17
Burundi Kayanza Nemba40ETA 2/17
Buruni Honey Process Masha40ETA 2/17
Burundi Dry Process Kibingo60ETA 2/17
Burundi Dry Process Gahahe60ETA 2/17
Burundi Dry Process Agahore50ETA 3/8
Burundi Kiganda Murambi10ETA 3/8
Burundi Dry Process Kiganda Murambi25ETA 3/8
Tanzania Mbozi Ilomba AA50ETA 4/3
Tanzania Dry Process Acacia Hills AB22ETA 4/3
Tanzania Honey Process Acacia Hills AB16ETA 4/3
Tanzania Mbozi Kanji Lalji Farm50ETA 4/3
Yemen Mokha Matari100ETA 3/29
Yemen Bani Haraz100ETA 3/29
Yemen Al Qafr Hawari100ETA 3/29
Yemen Mokha Saanani100ETA 3/29
Yemen Mokha Peaberry50ETA 3/29

Indonesia & SE Asia & Oceania Incoming Coffees

CoffeesBagsETA
Papua New Guinea Morita30ETA 2/21
Papua New Guinea Tairora30ETA 2/21
Papua New Guinea Honey Process Baroida30ETA 2/21
Papua New Guinea Dry Process Baroida30ETA 2/21
Flores Wet Hulled Bajawa Wawo Wae47ARRIVED
Sulawesi Kahayya Village15ARRIVED
Java Sunda Iyan55ARRIVED
Java Sunda Cirambai40ARRIVED
Java Sunda Anaerobic Honey15ARRIVED
Sulawesi Dry Process Topidi8ARRIVED
Flores Bajawa Anaerobic Honey25ARRIVED
Flores Albertus & Reti20ARRIVED
Java Sunda Wet Hulled Dani30ARRIVED

South America Incoming Coffees

CoffeesBagsETA
Colombia Frutas del Cauca35ETA 3/1
Colombia Inzá Vereda San Antonio19ETA 3/1
Colombia Inzá La Chorrera26ETA 3/1
Colombia Inzá Veredas Vecinas43ETA 3/1
Colombia Inzá Cresta El Hato27ETA 3/1
Colombia Tolima China Alta17ETA 3/1
Colombia Nariño Vereda Veracruz9ETA 3/1
Colombia Nariño Vereda Buesaco5ETA 3/1
Colombia San Antonio Doña Rosa5ETA 3/1
Colombia Inzá Vereda Pedregal16ETA 3/1
Colombia Inzá Las Estrellas9ETA 3/1
Colombia Inzá Río Páez16ETA 3/1
Colombia Buesaco EA Decaf58ETA 3/1
Colombia Chiroso Cultivar60ETA 3/4
Colombia Sidra Cultivar40ETA 3/4
Colombia Java Cultivar20ETA 3/4
Colombia Gesha Cultivar30ETA 3/4

55 Responses

  1. I always look forward to these outlooks, Dan. I’m quite amazed what is getting through despite events in the Red Sea. I can’t imagine how it is affecting the people who depend on the coffee crops to support their families. On the bright side the demand is still high and it appears there is still a lot of offerings not only now but many more to look forward to as well. Thank you for all the work you all do to bring these coffees to us home roasters and for keeping the focus on the farmers behind the coffee we enjoy.

    1. Hi Todd, thankfully there are many other routes to keep things flowing, but we will certainly see some delays. Holding out hope that things will let up soon for all parties involved.

      -Dan

    1. Hi Jim,

      We’re expecting similar pricing to last year for our Yemen coffee. We did have to pay more for shipping due to this container sailing through the Red Sea, but not too exorbitant.

      -Dan

  2. Thanks for the heads up on what to expect and when. This will help us plan our coffee needs for the next several months. I can only guess how the international situation effects the small family owned coffee growers.

  3. I am a relatively new customer and was wondering if you all ever had customer reviews of your different coffees. I appreciate your cupping notes and brewing recommendations but it would be nice to to get customer reviews/notes as well. Has that ever been considered?

    1. Hi Todd, thanks for your comment Todd.

      As you pointed out, our site doesn’t have that capability at this time, and it’s something that would take some reconfiguring to do. Not out of the question, but something that we would need some consideration. We used to have a message board, where people could engage a little more, which I miss!

      Perhaps we can get back to something like that again in the future.

      We appreciate your feedback!

      -Dan

    2. Oh wow, did not know that. Any reason the message board was discontinued? Have there been thoughts to resurrect these forums? I suppose like any social platform folks can get a little too personal and policing can be more trouble than anyone wants. Perhaps a “membership” or subscription would be warranted to filter out the bad actors if true…

    3. Hey Todd, you’re right that things can go sideways pretty quickly! But it was just an unfortunate consequence of upgrading our website a few years back. We would like to bring it back, honestly, and may at some point. It functioned as a forum and was a great place for bringing people together.

      I know commenting on library posts doesn’t exactly achieve what you’re hoping for, but it’s what we have to offer right now. And as you can see, the comments do get our attention!

      Thanks again for bringing this up. It’s definitely on our minds too.

      Best,
      Dan

  4. Hey Dan,

    Any word on when your new Yemeni coffees will be available for purchase? According to your incoming coffees the following all had ETAs of 29 March:

    Yemen Mokha Matari
    Yemen Bani Haraz
    Yemen Al Qafr Hawari
    Yemen Mokha Saanani
    Yemen Mokha Peaberry

    Thanks – Yemen is the accent coffee in my espresso blend and I’m down to my last few greens…

    1. Howdy, that box just took a little longer than scheduled. Right now it’s showing an ETA of 4/12. If it does arrive on time, I would plan on getting our first lots up by 1st week of May. Of course, this all depends on port logistics, which are unfortunately slowing down a bit. Fingers crossed that it’s on time and transfers smoothly!

      Cheers.

      -Dan

    1. Hey Dan, I see the only Yemeni coffee put up so far is the Sharqui Haraz – which came in on the same cargo ship as the others I think. Any idea on when I can peruse and buy the other Yemeni coffees?

    2. Hey there, you are correct. All came on the same box, but we tend to trickle to the site. Part of the reason is that we just don’t have space for every coffee we own in our warehouse, so we store back stock at an offsite coffee storage facility in Alameda (here’s a video tour I posted a few years back). This week Matari will launch, and then I believe the next one goes up in June. Hope that’s helpful!

      -D

  5. There were a few Timors on the January outlook that, as far as I can tell, haven’t shown up but also aren’t on this outlook. The Dry Process Daurfusu in particular was a favorite in our house and I’ve been excited for its return. Is that one still on the horizon? In the meantime I’ll keep enjoying the other wild and woolys, just curious about that one in particular!

    1. Hi Dan, thanks for your inquiry! Apologies for the confusion on this one, it is listed now with the name “Dukurai”. In the past, I believe we called this one “Dukurai Daurfusu”, but opted for the former to keep from confusing with the honey process from the same station. This year’s lot is super nice too!

      Hope that helps.

      Best,
      Dan

    2. Oh excellent! Thanks for the fast response. I added the Dukurai to a recent order because the description sounded right up that alley but haven’t cracked into it yet – very much looking forward to it now!

  6. Dan, are you planning to post another coffee outlook soon? I’ve been enjoying several of the coffees in the meantime! Ethiopia Sidama Shantowene has been solid, very enjoyable. El Salvadore Finca Miravalles H1 is one I could drink all day every day. It isn’t the most special cup but it is so good. Too bad I purchased only a pound! The Rwanda Rulindo Tumba is my latest roast. It’s a very interesting cup and really gets better every day – this one benefits from a longer rest. The dry smell itself is incredible. The Ngororero is also quite good. Actually, as much as I want to grab more coffee I might have too many containers of unroasted coffee on my shelf to work through (if that is a thing), so maybe hold off a little longer on the updated outlook, haha.

    1. Hi Todd! Yes, the plan is to get one up by Friday. I’d like these to be every other month at the very least, but we had a busy April. The Miravalles coffees were really great last year, and you can expect that same quality this year too. We actually have 13 lots from them shipping in the next couple of weeks. Hoping for mid-to-late June arrival! Tumba is super good…one my fave washed Rwanda’s this year!

      Good to hear from you Todd.

      Dan

    1. Hi Todd, it’s been a hectic few weeks but I’m halfway there! SHould be up in the next couple of days. Thanks for your patience.

      -D

    1. Hi Jeff, thanks for the question. New crop Bani Haraz goes live this Wednesday, Matari next week. We have a couple more lots in the wings, but I don’t expect to start listing them until 1st week of June. Hope that helps!

      -Dan

    1. Hi Tom, we’re launching Bani Haraz later today. There’s a healthy chunk of coffee, so plenty to go around! Matari by the end of next week.

      Best,

      Dan

  7. Thank you, Dan, is this Haraz from the same crop I bought a month ago that you sold out of? Any chance we’ll ever see Haraz AA again?

    1. Hi Tom, this is a new lot actually that just arrived a few weeks back. It’s technically an A+ grade, which just means the bean sizes are 14/64″ and larger, or “14+ screen”. AA+ is 15+ screen, which isn’t all that different in size (only 1/64″ larger), and honestly, does not necessarily correlate to cup quality difference.

      Hope this helps!

    2. Dan, looks like Bani Haraz is now called Sharqui Haraz – what’s behind the name change?

    3. Hey Todd, yes, we changed the name to use the sub-District, Al-Sharqui. It’s still the same coffee, but we’ll be using this more specific name going forward.

      -D

  8. Thank you very much for the outlook? Is the next outlook post coming soon?

    In particular, outlooks on Geshas and Robustas are eagerly awaited!

  9. Hello, is the Burundi Dry Process Agahore going to be available soon? I tried some last time it was available and would love to get some more.

    1. Hi Sam, right now it’s looking like 2nd half June. It’s cupping really well and we’re looking forward to releasing it as soon as possible!

      Best,
      Dan

  10. Hello,

    I am new to this website, but a friend gave me to taste coffee from Congo, and loved the taste… I am always looking if you guys receive some, but I don’t see it.. any news?

    1. Hi Alberto, welcome! We are unfortunately out of stock at the moment. Harvest season should be finishing up there about now, so we hope to see samples very soon. I wouldn’t expect anything on the site until closer to the end of the year. If you like Congo, you should definitely check out the coffees we have from Burundi and Rwanda right now. Really nice substitutions!

  11. I ordered a small amount of the Bani Haraz several months ago to sample before buying what I’d need for a year. It was the best Haraz I’ve had. Similar to the wonderful crops you offered several years ago. In the following years the Harazes offered were not quite what I had from those of several years ago. Until I sampled the first crop offered in 2024. I jumped to order more and it was gone. So I ordered the next Haraz batch, (Sharqui) and found it not as spectacular as what I had earlier in the year. Your wholesale division offers the Bani but the retail store only offers the newly labeled Sharqui. Why did the Bani sell out so quickly? Because others also discovered how awesome it was? I regret not having bought 15-20 lbs of the Bani earlier in the year and find myself chasing the taste of that batch. Is the Bani offered at wholesale level from that earlier batch? What can you tell me about all this, and will there be another batch of the spectacular Bani this year?

    1. Hi Tom, thanks for the note. Sorry to hear the latest lot of Haraz wasn’t quite what you’d hoped for! It is the freshest lot, and most of what was sold as “Bani”, would have been from the previous year. They are both from the same source, farms etc, just different crop years. The reason for the slight name change is that our source informed us that “Bani” is not correct for this region, and changed it to the sub-district, Al Sharqui. We briefly had the Bani name on the site for this year’s coffee, then changed it as soon as we’d been informed about the correction (on Coffee Shrub as well). Hope this clears up the confusion.

      I see you’ve already tried Matari, which we were really happy with. We also have a really nice lot from Hawari launching next week.

      Best,
      Dan

  12. When will Guatemala’s Acatenango Gesha lot be stocked?

    We buy your Acatenango Gesha lot every year.

    1. Hi Michael, we are expecting that box to hit the port any day now. Realistically, I expect that Gesha on the site first half of September. This year’s Gesha harvest was much smaller, only 34 bags, so keep an eye out. The newsletter is the best way to receive notification for when it launches, or you can chime in here in a couple weeks to see if we have an update on timing.

      Thanks for checking in!

      -Dan

  13. I keep hoping to see El Salvador Finca San Luis. Any update on expected arrival? Thanks for building such a wonderful resource!

    1. Hi Andrew, we expect to have some new offers from Honduras in the next 2 months. Last week we posted a really nice Parainema lot from Maria Fernandez, which is only about 60 miles from Ocotepeque 🙂

      Hoping to have an update on ETA’s in the next Outlook.

      Best,
      Dan

  14. Hiya, any idea when some more berry-forward Ethiopian Dry Process will be coming in? There were some absolute bangers that sold out a few months back, and the current ones aren’t quite my favorite.

    1. Hey Ryan! We have a really nice dry process lot from Benti Nenka going up next Wednesday. Keep an eye out, as we plan to add at least 3 more dry process lots in September too.

      Cheers,
      Dan

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